SuperDuper-Tennis Archive

Saturday, November 21, 2009

CEP’s estimation table can be read as follows...

Saturday, November 21, 2009 | Posted by SuperDuper | | Edit Post
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CEP’s estimation table can be read as follows (In blue color are CEP's table indicators in SD-Privy, while in green color are CEP's mini table indicators in SD-free blog):
  • Calculated Values: Sum of calculated values as provided by CEP in order to indicate the odds for win for each player. In these values have added the match values of the running tournament!
  • Calculated Values “Core”: ‘Core values’ gives a widen estimation of player's dynamics, without including running tournament match values! In other words, it gives a general view of player's form!
  • Value Winner Estimation: Gives a second estimation of match outcome.
  • W1 = means [Won 1st set]: In the right box of this symbol you will see 2nd set's dynamics of the player who won 1st set.
  • L1 = means [Lost 1st set]: In the right box of this symbol you will see 2nd set's dynamics of the player who lost 1st set.
  • W1L2 = means [Won 1st set and Lost 2nd set]: In the right box of this symbol you will see 3rd set's dynamic of the player who won 1st set and lost 2nd set.
  • L1W2 = means [Lost 1st set and Won 2nd set]: In the right box of this symbol you will see the 3rd set's dynamics of the player who lost 1st set and won 2nd set.
  • Tie Break Dynamic: Player’s general tie break dynamics.
  • Tie Break Dynamic (1st Set): Player’s tie break dynamic when it has to be played in 1st set.
  • Tie Break Dynamic (Decisive Set): Player’s tie break dynamics when it has to be played in deciding set, whether is for lose or the match.
  • RM (Reliability Meter): A new feature for CEP in order to increase reliability. The higher the showed number below RM column is, the higher the reliability of the respective value (1st set, W1, L1 etc). Theoretically maximum RM number is 10,0 but this is extremely difficult to happen because will mean no risk at all! RM numbers more than 7,0 indicates strong reliability, 5,0-7,0 medium reliability and below 5,0 indicates risk for the respective values (1st set, W1, L1 etc).
The grade (A+, A, ...,D) is an indicator in order to know how recent are the calculated "5" last values of the players. To make it more clear, there are players who have not play for some time or long time. So, if at least the last 5 matches are not recent enough, the estimation probably is not very reliable. So, the grades that you can see refer to these periods: 

  • A+ refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 15 days period
  • A refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 1 month period
  • A- refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 1.5 month period
  • B+ refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 2 month period
  • B refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 2.5 months period
  • B- refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 3 months period
  • C+ refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 3.5 months period
  • C refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 4 months period
  • C- refers to the last 5 player's values for the last 4.5 months period
  • D refers to the last 5 player's values for more than 4.5 months period




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