SuperDuper-Tennis Archive

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

US Open Men 2008

Tuesday, September 02, 2008 | Posted by SuperDuper | | Edit Post

US Open Men 2008

Comparative.Excel.Program

TOTAL value

Potential

General Dynamics per Set'

Final Winner

1st Set

2nd Set

3nd Set

SETS

Robredo Tommy

28,2

-11,1

34,1

18,0

69,2

43,1

%

1

2

Djokovic Novak

34,8

17,9

26,2

12,6

91,5

56,9

%

3

3

Davydenko Nikolay

17,1

44,8

-1,3

10,8

71,4

64,4

%

3

3

Muller Gilles

11,3

-4,8

22,8

10,2

39,5

35,6

%

1

2

Andreev Igor

29,4

20,8

30,3

14,6

95,1

34,6

%

0

0

Federer Roger

53,3

48,2

51,6

26,8

179,9

65,4

%

3

3

Roddick Andy

40,3

28,5

34,0

25,8

128,6

69,7

%

3

3

Gonzalez Fernando

16,5

6,6

30,1

2,7

55,9

30,3

%

0

1

  • Djokovic to win by 3-1 @ 3,75 (Unibet) >> 3/10
  • Djokovic-Robredo Over 36 @ 2,03 (Pinnacle) >> 5/10
  • Davydenko to win by 3-1 @ 4,00 (Unibet) >> 2/10
  • Davydenko-Muller Over 34,5 @ 2,03 (Pinnacle) >> 6/10
  • Federer to win by 3-0 @ 1,67 (Sportingbet) >> 5/10
  • Roddick to win 1st set @ 1,65 (Unibet) >> 6/10
  • Roddick to win @ 1,53 (WilliamHill) >> 8/10
  • Roddick to win by 3-0 @ 4,00 (WilliamHill) >> 4/10
  • Roddick to win by 3-1 @ 4,00 (Sportingbet) >> 2/10

Blogger Social Bookmark Gadget

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Christos,

Going well this week. Well done!

Keep up the good job.

4 questions:

after each week you give us a graph of the profit and yield in the week before. but can you also provide us a graph with your totals so far? would be nice to see your long term impact.

also i was wondering what the total value means in your last table? as you might know i really like playing with stats, so i am really interested what this means. ill guess its the total value of all sets?

another question. it looks you are a searching for value bets. you are going for match odds, but also for set odds and you also selects underdogs. can you give us an example how you define value? for example why did you pick djokovic to win 3-1 in stead of djoko to win?

last question. in addition to the question above, how do you define the level of stakes? i noticed that your picks with higer odds, get less stakes and vica versa. can you explain us something this?

thanks in advance for your reply.

if you want share info in a private way, you can also send me an email arjaneinstein@hotmail.com.

ciao, arjan

September 3, 2008 at 11:21 AM
SuperDuper said...

Hello Arjan!

I came back from my vacations just on Monday. From now on I will work hard to develop CEP in many aspects.

As about your questions...

4 questions:

after each week you give us a graph of the profit and yield in the week before. but can you also provide us a graph with your totals so far? would be nice to see your long term impact.

YES, I HAVE IT IN MY MIND! I WANT TO HAVE PROFIT & YIELD GRAPHS EVERY WEEK, EVERY MONTH AND EVERY YEAR!!!

also i was wondering what the total value means in your last table? as you might know i really like playing with stats, so i am really interested what this means. ill guess its the total value of all sets?

YOU GUESS RIGHT! THE TOTAL VALUE IS THE SUM OF ALL VALUES (FINAL WINNER, 1ST SET, 2ND SET, 3RD SET).

another question. it looks you are a searching for value bets. you are going for match odds, but also for set odds and you also selects underdogs. can you give us an example how you define value? for example why did you pick djokovic to win 3-1 in stead of djoko to win?

BOOKMAKERS GAVE FOR DJOKO MORE THAN 80% TO WIN ROBREDO. IF YOU COULD SEE, CEP GAVE ONLY 56,9% (PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL VALUE) AND SO THERE WASN'T ANY VALUE FOR DJOKO ODDS. BUT, EVEN THOUGH, HE HAD A MARGINAL BETTER VALUE FROM ROBREDO AND SO MY THOUGH WAS THAT DJOKO COULD WIN BUT NO BY 3-0! THE THING IS THAT UNTIL NOW I HAVEN'T GIVE PICKS WITH ''LAY''... SO, I COULD HAVE GAVE ''LAY DJOKOVIC 3-0''.

last question. in addition to the question above, how do you define the level of stakes? i noticed that your picks with higer odds, get less stakes and vica versa. can you explain us something this?

STAKES ARE GIVEN EMPIRICALLY BY ME. THIS IS BECAUSE I HAVEN'T FINISH MY STAKES POLICY PROGRAM YET, THAT IT WILL GIVE ME AUTOMATICALLY THE MOST RELIABLE STAKE FOR EVERY BET. STAKE POLICY FOR ME IS THE 'MOST' IMPORTANT THING FOR BETTORS!!!





Have a nice day my friend! I have already add you in my msn.

Christos

September 3, 2008 at 11:41 AM
Post a Comment
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Blogger Template created with Artisteer by SuperDuper.

Become SD-Privy Member and see the difference... SD-Privy Membership!

X