SuperDuper Tennis!: My apologies for this bad season start...

It's obvious that possibilities are not by my side, at least until now...

The examples are many but I would like to stay in my last full of confident bet, which is Federer to take 1st set from Berdych!

Here is Federer's 1st sets from the beginning of 2008, and only in hard court. In black font you can see the statistics of break points save by Federer, while in green font the winning 1st sets:

	Federer Roger
			Statistics on Service
SURFACE	DATE	PLAYER	BPS
hard	15/1/2008	Hartfield Diego	1	1	100
hard	17/1/2008	Santoro Fabrice	0	0	100
hard	19/1/2008	Tipsarevic Janko	0	1	0
hard	21/1/2008	Berdych Tomas	0	0	100
hard	23/1/2008	Blake James	0	1	0
hard	25/1/2008	Djokovic Novak	2	4	50
hard	3/3/2008	Murray Andy	0	0	100
hard	16/3/2008	Garcia-Lopez Guillermo	0	0	100
hard	18/3/2008	Mahut Nicolas	0	0	100
hard	19/3/2008	Ljubicic Ivan	0	0	100
hard	22/3/2008	Fish Mardy	2	3	67
hard	29/3/2008	Monfils Gael	0	0	100
hard	31/3/2008	Soderling Robin	3	4	75
hard	1/4/2008	Acasuso Jose	0	0	100
hard	3/4/2008	Roddick Andy	0	0	100
hard	23/7/2008	Simon Gilles	1	1	100
hard	29/7/2008	Ginepri Robby	0	2	0
hard	31/7/2008	Karlovic Ivo	0	0	100
hard	11/8/2008	Tursunov Dmitry	1	1	100
hard	12/8/2008	Arevalo Rafael	0	0	100
hard	13/8/2008	Berdych Tomas	1	2	50
hard	14/8/2008	Blake James	2	3	67
hard	26/8/2008	Gonzalez Maximo	2	2	100
hard	29/8/2008	Alves Thiago	1	1	100
hard	2/9/2008	Andreev Igor	1	2	50
hard	4/9/2008	Muller Gilles	0	0	100
hard	6/9/2008	Djokovic Novak	0	0	100
hard	8/9/2008	Murray Andy	0	0	100
hard	6/1/2009	Starace Potito	0	0	100
hard	7/1/2009	Seppi Andreas	1	2	50
hard	8/1/2009	Kohlschreiber Philipp	0	1	0
hard	9/1/2009	Murray Andy	1	1	100
hard	19/1/2009	Seppi Andreas	2	2	100
hard	21/1/2009	Korolev Evgeny	0	1	0
hard	23/1/2009	Safin Marat	0	0	100

He won 27 (run 10 of 10) 1st set and lost only 8! So, he had a 77% of winning the 1st set!

The most amazing is that in whole those 35 matches (only hard court), he has broken twice in 1st set only 2 times! By Djokovic at 25/1/08 and Ginepri at 29/07/08! So, the possibilities Federer to be broken twice in 1st set, according to last 35 matches was only 6%!!!

Today, Berdych broke him twice in first set and in consequence he took the first set against all the odds!

Tell me if 1,20 was not value to bet on! We talk about a 20% investment!

Note that if I include all the surfaces, possibilities will increase for Federer!!!

*With this post I'm not intending to excuse my loss, even if I need to apologies to many of you, especially to them who send me supporting emails everyday.

2 comments:

MarYOUsh said...: Don't give up Christos, I "bet on you" :) Of course sometimes i have my own predictions, however your predictions on this blog are my base which i put on booking sites.; January 25, 2009 at 7:10 PM
SuperDuper said...: Thank you for your supporting comment my friend!

;); January 26, 2009 at 1:28 AM

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My apologies for this bad season start...

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